Iran War ’24 Hours of Destiny’

As President Donald Trump pressures Iran for an agreement, he has made it clear that he will no longer delay the deadline set for 8 p.m. on the 7th).

In about a full day, it will be determined whether both sides will find a sudden breakthrough based on the newly emerged “45-day ceasefire plan” to halt a massive escalation, or whether concentrated strikes on Iran’s key infrastructure will begin as President Trump has warned, plunging the entire world into another level of uncertainty. While the possibility that President Trump, who has changed his stance multiple times, might reverse the deadline cannot be ruled out, the assessment is that the war with Iran is reaching a decisive phase in its sixth week.

The deadline for negotiations, which President Trump repeatedly affirmed on the 6th, is “8 p.m. on the 7th.” That morning, during a White House Easter event, when reporters asked if this was the “final deadline,” President Trump replied, “Yes.”

At a White House press conference, he stated, “We have a plan. All of Iran’s bridges will be destroyed by midnight tomorrow, and all of Iran’s power plants will be blown up and rendered unusable again,” adding, “If we want, they will be completely destroyed by midnight.”

This was a message that if an agreement is not reached by the proposed deadline, he would immediately launch strikes on Iran’s core infrastructure, inflicting catastrophic damage on Iran within four hours of the attack beginning. This significantly heightened the pressure.

Claiming that he could wipe out Iran overnight, he did not forget to warn that the strikes would be on a scale capable of completely paralyzing national functions by mentioning “all power plants” and “all bridges.” When asked if he was concerned about potential controversy regarding war crimes if civilian-use power plants and bridges were attacked, he replied, “Not at all.”

He highlighted his determination to break through, stating that he would not be deterred by the inevitable controversy over violating international law if he carried out strikes on civilian facilities. Although the deadline of 8 p.m. on the 7th was suddenly pushed back by one day—and there had been previous extensions—so the possibility of President Trump changing his mind at the last minute cannot be ruled out, he has outwardly signaled his resolve to pressure Iran without leaving any room for retreat.

The primary focus is whether a breakthrough can be achieved to alleviate the peaked tensions, even to some extent, based on the “45-day ceasefire plan” prepared by the mediators. President Trump described the 45-day ceasefire proposal as “insufficient, but significant progress.” It is known that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is attached as a condition to the ceasefire, and the prevailing view is that an agreement to ease the blockade in some way is necessary for President Trump to back down from striking critical infrastructure.

President Trump also stated in a press conference that opening the Strait of Hormuz is a “very critical priority,” adding, “There must be an agreement I can accept, and part of that agreement is the free movement of oil.” Therefore, the biggest point of interest is whether a partial agreement regarding the Strait of Hormuz will be reached between the United States and Iran. Even if Iran, having realized the leverage effect of the Strait of Hormuz more clearly than ever before, does not immediately agree to demands for a “full opening,” a path toward de-escalation could open if it agrees to a partial and phased solution that saves President Trump some face. However, the gap between the demands of both sides is enormous.

Above all, it remains uncertain whether Iran, which harbors deep distrust of the U.S. and feels betrayed by the fact that the U.S. attack began on February 28 before negotiations between the two countries had concluded, will cooperate with President Trump in seeking a way out. On that day, Iran officially rejected a temporary ceasefire proposal while stating its position that it desires a permanent end to the war. If an agreement is not reached within the set deadline and President Trump ultimately proceeds with a series of strikes on Iran’s critical infrastructure, the subsequent developments could become a “zero-visibility” situation. Even if he declares victory after inflicting devastating damage, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could remain in place.

On the contrary, it is highly likely that the Iranian leadership will utilize the “Hormuz leverage” even more intensely to further pressure President Trump. For President Trump, who needs oil price stability, this could inadvertently cause him to walk deeper into a quagmire resulting from an escalating global energy crisis.

President Trump’s dilemma can be seen in his stance of prioritizing the opening of Hormuz almost as his top priority, while simultaneously stating that “the energy-independent United States will provide second-line support, so countries highly dependent on the Strait of Hormuz must take charge of the strait themselves. ”

The fact that the United States, despite having minimal dependence on Hormuz, is witnessing rising domestic gasoline prices amidst soaring international oil prices is becoming a headache for President Trump ahead of the November midterm elections. An Iranian counterattack is also a variable. Although the Trump administration claims to have neutralized Iran to the extent that it can be considered a de facto victory, observers believe there is still considerable room for Iran to inflict military damage on the U.S., as evidenced by the incident in which a U.S. F-15E fighter jet was shot down in Iran.

Ultimately, a situation could arise where a prolonged war—which President Trump most wishes to avoid—becomes inevitable. The possibility of deploying U.S. ground troops also remains. President Trump stated the previous day that he would not rule out deploying ground troops; while this could be intended to heighten pressure on Iran, it appears that the possibility cannot be ruled out that he may seek military achievements, such as securing Iran’s enriched uranium reserves, to justify the outbreak of war by using the failure to reach an agreement on the deadline extension as a pretext.

Officers cannot enter residential areas without a warrant

A lawsuit has been filed to prevent federal immigration enforcement agents from entering home without a judicial warrant.

The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and others filed a lawsuit against the Department of Homeland Security in the U.S. District Court for the District of Washington, D.C., on the 2nd. The lawsuit aims to invalidate an internal guideline issued last May by the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), which allows agents to enter residences based solely on an “administrative warrant” issued by the administration, without a “judicial warrant” issued by a court, for the arrest of individuals whose orders have been finalized.

The lawsuit was filed by civil organizations representing victims who claim their constitutional rights have been violated due to unlawful intrusions caused by the new guideline. In the complaint, the plaintiffs argued that “the internal guideline violates the Fourth Amendment, which prohibits unlawful searches and seizures, and is a measure to circumvent judicial oversight.”

The existence of ICE’s new guidelines came to light earlier this year through a whistleblower’s report and sparked fierce controversy as they effectively overturn long-standing administration guidelines and court precedents regarding home searches. While an executive warrant is an internal document authorizing the arrest of a specific individual, it does not grant enforcement agents the authority to forcibly enter private property; thus, a judicial warrant signed by a federal or state judge has traditionally been required to enter homes or businesses. However, the new ICE guidelines state that for the arrest of immigrants facing deportation orders, authorities can enter homes and conduct searches and arrests without the resident’s consent using only an executive warrant, which was previously considered to lack the authority for forced entry.

For years, immigrant advocacy groups and legal organizations have advised against opening doors to immigration enforcement agents unless presented with a judicial warrant signed by a judge, and the new ICE guidelines effectively nullify this advice.

According to the Associated Press, while it is unclear how widely the guidelines were applied to immigration enforcement operations, significant controversy arose after it was revealed that heavily armed ICE agents were carrying only an executive warrant when they broke down the front door of a Liberian man’s home and arrested him in Minneapolis last January.

U.S. Ford aircraft carrier caught fire in Red Sea

The U.S. Navy aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford, which withdrew from the front lines following a fire during Operation Magnificent Fury in the Red Sea, arrived at the port of Split, Croatia, on the 28th (local time).

According to Reuters, the U.S. Embassy in Croatia announced the arrival in a statement, saying, “The USS Gerald R. Ford will invite local officials and key leaders to reaffirm the strong and enduring alliance between the United States and Croatia.” The Ford, the world’s largest aircraft carrier and the newest in the U.S. fleet, experienced a fire in its laundry room on the 12th.

Three people were injured in the fire at the time, and separately, nearly 200 people received treatment for smoke-related issues. It took about 30 hours to extinguish the fire, and as a result of the aftermath, around 600 crew members had to sleep on the floor and tables at one point, and it is reported that about 100 bunks were affected. The USS Ford called at the Bay of Souda base on the Greek island of Crete in the middle of the Mediterranean last week for repairs and refueling, and is scheduled to move northwest to Split, which borders the Adriatic Sea between the Italian and Balkan peninsulas, for repairs and maintenance. The USS Ford carries a crew of approximately 5,000 and more than 75 military aircraft, including F-18 Super Hornets. The USS Ford has remained in service since June of last year, which is a considerably long period for an aircraft carrier.

Previously, the USS Ford docked in Croatia for several days last October, and the carrier strike group centered around the Ford was dispatched to the Caribbean last November for operations against Venezuela, before moving again early this year following orders to be deployed to the Middle East. When the USS Ford entered the Souda Bay base in February of this year prior to the start of Operation ‘Great Fury,’ protests took place on the island of Crete.

As Yemen’s Houthi rebels declared their participation in the Middle East war and launched missile attacks against Israel and others on the 28th, concerns are being raised that the USS Ford could be vulnerable to their attacks if it returns to the Red Sea, where it was deployed prior to the fire incident. In 2024, the aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower, followed by the USS Harry S. Truman in 2025, were deployed to the Red Sea to engage in combat with the Houthi rebels.

The U.S. military dispatched an aircraft carrier strike group centered on the USS George H.W. Bush from the U.S. Atlantic coast to head to the Middle East. Currently, the U.S. Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group is deployed in the waters of the Middle East. The U.S. military possesses 11 active aircraft carriers, all of which are nuclear-powered. Of these, 10 are Nimitz-class and one is Gerald R. Ford-class.

New York City Immigrant Influx Drops 70%

It has been revealed that the population of New York City has decreased as the number of immigrants entering the city has sharply declined in the aftermath of the Trump administration’s hardline immigration policies. According to a report by The New York Times on the 26th based on the Federal Census Bureau’s “2025 Population Estimates,” the population of New York City is estimated to be 8.58 million as of July 2025.

This represents a decrease of 12,200 people compared to the previous year and falls significantly short of the 8.8 million population projected for the early 2020s. The main reason for this population decline is attributed to the increasingly pronounced drop in immigrant inflows in recent years.

According to actual statistics, the influx of new foreign-born immigrants into New York City between July 2024 and July 2025 was 66,000, a 70% decrease from the 220,000 recorded during the same period of the previous year. This magnitude of decline is the highest among all metropolitan areas in the United States. Among New York City’s five boroughs, four—excluding Staten Island—were included in the top 10 counties with the largest decreases in immigrant inflow. Furthermore, it is estimated that 114,000 more residents left New York City for other regions than newly arrived. By borough, Queens saw the largest decline with a decrease of 8,900 people, followed by Brooklyn with 4,700 and Manhattan with 650. Conversely, Staten Island increased by 1,700 and the Bronx by 280.

The fact that Queens and Brooklyn, areas with high immigrant concentrations, showed the largest declines reflects the impact of reduced influx of international immigrants. Previously, New York City offset population outflow to other regions with an influx of immigrants; however, it is analyzed that the population decline is now occurring because immigrant settlement has noticeably decreased compared to the past due to factors such as the Trump administration’s strict immigration policies.

John Mollenkopf, a political science professor at the City University of New York, warned, “If the influx of foreign immigrants does not continue steadily, New York City will start to falter.” Meanwhile, the Census Bureau announced in its “2025 Population Estimates” released on the 26th that year-on-year population growth slowed in 310 out of 387 metropolitan areas across the U.S. between July 2024 and July 2025.

Additionally, according to the Bureau, approximately 80% of the 2,066 counties that experienced population growth between 2023 and 2024 saw their growth slow or shift to a decline between 2024 and 2025.

Construction Support’ to Alleviate Housing Shortage

New York City has resumed support for the construction of Ancillary Dwelling Units (ADUs), also known as “backyard detached houses,” to address the housing shortage.

On the 18th, New York City Mayor Zoran Mamdani announced, “One of the solutions to New York City’s severe housing crisis is to promote the creation of habitable ADUs in backyards, attics, and basements,” adding, “We have decided to restart the financial and technical support programs for ADU construction that had been suspended for the past two years.”

Named “Plus One ADU,” this program provides loans of up to $395,000 (at 0% or the lowest interest rates) and technical support for ADU construction. It also supports various types of ADU blueprints already approved by the New York City Department of Housing Preservation and Development. This program is designed to enable the fastest possible construction of ADUs by providing financial, technical, and blueprint support.

Eligibility requires applicants to be homeowners with an income at or below 165% of the local median income. The ADU area must not exceed 800 square feet, and in New York City, one unit may be built per home. The deadline for applications for the ‘Plus One Program’ is June 12.

According to the City Housing Preservation and Development Bureau, approximately 2,800 homeowners applied for this program, initiated by former Mayor Eric Adams, and about 25% were confirmed to be eligible. However, the program was suspended for two years due to reasons such as application review. The ‘City of Yes’ project, ambitiously launched by former Mayor Adams with the goal of expanding housing supply, centers on providing a total of 80,000 homes within the next 15 years, including the construction of 25,000 detached units.

‘Electric bicycle traffic violations’ to be abolished

New York City has decided to stop issuing “criminal summonses” for traffic violations involving regular pedal bicycles and electric bicycles starting next weekend.

New York City Mayor Zoran Mamdani announced on the 18th, “We will stop issuing criminal summonses to riders of both regular pedal bicycles and electric bicycles starting on the 27th,” adding that “for minor traffic violations, only fine tickets will be issued, just like for car drivers.”

In New York City, there has been continuous dissatisfaction among delivery workers and others using bicycles, as failure to appear in court after receiving a criminal summons could result in the issuance of an arrest warrant or arrest. The minor traffic violations identified by Mayor Mamdani on this day included traffic signal violations, stop sign violations, and illegal zipping along city sidewalks. Meanwhile, the issuance of criminal summonses to cyclists in New York City is a policy ambitiously launched by Mayor Eric Adams last April.

Instead of issuing so-called “B-Summonses,” which allowed for the payment of a $190 fine or the attendance of a “virtual DMV hearing” to dispute the charges, the city has been issuing pink “criminal summonses” that require mandatory appearance in criminal court.

The traffic violations for which the NYPD issued criminal summonses were six types: reckless driving, alcohol or drugs driving, driving the wrong way, disobeying a red light, and failure to stop at a stop sign. Consequently, the number of ‘criminal summonses’ issued to bicycle riders in the second quarter of 2025 surged tenfold compared to the first quarter.

Eight-month vacancy at the head of Consulate General.

Although the position of Consul General in New York has remained vacant for over eight months, the appointment of a new head of mission continues to be pushed to the back burner. The South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs carried out two rounds of personnel appointments for heads of overseas missions this month. On the 6th, appointments were made for five missions, including those in Chicago and Houston, and on the 12th, for six; however, the Consul General in New York was ultimately not included. Furthermore, with the new appointments of Consul Generals in Chicago and Houston, as of the 12th, only two missions in the Americas remain vacant: the Consulate General in New York and the Consulate General in Honolulu, Hawaii.

The leadership position at the New York Consulate General has been vacant for over eight months since former Consul General Kim Eui-hwan stepped down in early July of last year. This period of leadership absence is the longest in the history of the New York Consulate General.

According to the history of the Consulate General in New York, since the appointment of the first head, Namgung Yeom, in 1949, the position of Consul General has typically seen a vacancy of at most one to two months; however, this time, the position is being unusually prolonged. Some voices are expressing concern, stating, “It is unprecedented for the position of Consul General to remain vacant nine months after the launch of the new administration,” and arguing that the situation must be resolved promptly given New York’s stature within the United States.

In this regard, an official from the Consulate General stated, “There has been no formal notification or news regarding the appointment of a new Consul General yet. However, the internal atmosphere suggests that a selection will likely be made soon.”

Another official remarked, “Given the prolonged nature of the selection process, we view the possibility of a Special Envoy being appointed again this time as highly likely.” Indeed, in the selection of two heads of missions in the Americas this month, Lee Kyung-eun, the representative of Human Rights Beyond Borders and an active human rights expert, was appointed as the Special Envoy for the Consulate General in Houston.

Meanwhile, criticism persists that the Consulate General is operating passively as the vacancy in the New York Consulate General position remains prolonged. Although the Consulate General completed its relocation to Manhattan last January and began operations at its new building, it has faced continued criticism for inadequate publicity regarding this move. In particular, the Consulate General abruptly switched its civil affairs office operations to an online pre-reservation system and suspended walk-in services starting on the 9th; however, it is being criticized for failing to consider the needs of applicants, as it only announced this change on its website on the 4th, just before implementation.

Legal rental of residential basement spaces is permitted.

Going forward, basements in newly constructed single-family homes and duplexes in New York City can be legally rented out as residential spaces. On the 10th, the New York City Council passed an ordinance allowing the rental of new single-family homes and duplexes.

Consequently, the ordinance will go into effect immediately once Mayor Zoran Mamdani signs it. Proposed by Councilmember Pierina Ana Sanchez, the ordinance permits the basements of newly built single-family homes (1-family houses) or duplexes (2-family houses) to be used as legal residential spaces.

This means homeowners will be able to legally rent basement spaces, and tenants will be able to reside there under legal protection.

Councilmember Sanchez stated, “Thanks to the ‘City of Yes’ housing package ordinance passed by the City Council last year, residential basements are now permitted as legal rental spaces,” adding, “The passage of this ordinance is expected to revitalize the housing supply in New York City, which has been suffering from a chronic shortage.”

Kansas City Airport evacuates 2,000 people

A bomb threat at Kansas City International Airport grounded flights for approximately three hours. The Kansas City Department of Aviation announced the airport received a bomb threat at approximately 11:15 a.m. on the 8th, prompting an immediate evacuation of the terminal, according to the Associated Press and the local daily, The Kansas City Star.

Approximately 2,000 passengers and employees were forced to leave the terminal and evacuate to the tarmac, creating a commotion. Logan Holley (29), a passenger waiting to board a plane at the terminal, described the situation to the Associated Press, saying, “Suddenly, an airport employee shouted, ‘Evacuate immediately,’ and people quickly got up and left the area (terminal).”

Police, in cooperation with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), deployed officers and police dogs to the terminal to investigate, while also partially blocking the highway leading to the airport. During this time, aircraft that had landed did not approach the terminal and waited on the taxiway. The airport resumed operations around 2 p.m. that day.

Federal Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy told X (formerly Twitter) that “the security incident at Kansas City International Airport has now been resolved, and normal operations are resuming.” However, no specific details regarding the bomb threat were released.

750,000 New Yorkers Lose Medicaid Benefits

A new analysis suggests that federal funding cuts to New York State will reduce the state’s Medicaid budget by $63 billion and the number of Medicaid beneficiaries by as many as 750,000 over the next decade.

These estimates of Medicaid budget cuts and enrollment declines in New York State are among the largest in the nation. According to a recent report by the non-profit research organization RAND Corporation, the cumulative decrease in New York State’s Medicaid budget between 2025 and 2034 is estimated to reach $62.612 billion due to the Big and Beautiful Tax Cuts Act (OBBBA, also known as the “Big and Beautiful Act”) signed by President Donald Trump last year. Specifically, the number of Medicaid enrollees in New York State is projected to decrease by a total of 744,600 during this period.

Specifically, the analysis analyzed that 595,900 enrollers will be lost due to enhanced work requirements, 133,100 due to eligibility review, and 6,500 due to restrictions on eligibility based on immigration status. New York’s enrollment decline is also the hardest hit in the nation, along with California (1,889,000).

In addition to these budget cuts, the Trump administration is also pressuring New York state’s Medicaid policies from all sides. Mehmet Oz, Commissioner of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS), claimed on the 3rd that “widespread abuse and fraud is occurring in New York’s Medicaid system” and demanded that the state submit a plan for improvement within 30 days.

The New York Post also reported that the federal Department of Justice plans to soon file a lawsuit against the state for allegedly favoring certain companies during the bidding process for the revamped Medicaid Provider Designation Program (CDPAP). Currently, the state is asking CMS to allow it to use existing federal funds held in a trust fund to cover the funding shortfall in the public health insurance “Essential Plan” caused by the implementation of the Open Benefits and Benefits Act (OBBBBA).

The Essential Plan enrolls 1.7 million New Yorkers with incomes below 250% of the federal poverty level. The OBBBA law has made it difficult to secure federal subsidies, putting approximately 450,000 enrollers at risk of losing eligibility. Some are raising concerns that multiple investigations into New York’s Medicaid system could negatively impact the federal government’s decision to maintain the Essential Plan.