With the November presidential election just 40 days away, another poll of voters nationwide and in swing states has shown that Vice President Kamala Harris is ahead of former President Donald Trump within the margin of error.
According to the results of a CBS poll conducted on 3,129 registered voters from the 18th to the 20th and released on the 22nd, 52% of respondents (with a margin of error of ±2.1 percentage points) who intend to vote said they would vote for Vice President Harris, the Democratic presidential candidate. Former President Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, recorded support 48%, 4 percentage points lower. A survey of likely voters in seven battleground states showed a 2-percentage point gap between Vice President Harris (51%) and former President Trump (49%).
In a CBS survey last month, both Vice President Harris and former President Trump scored 50%. In a CBS survey of individual battleground states, Vice President Harris was ahead within the margin of error in five states: ▲ Michigan (+2 percentage points), ▲ Wisconsin (+2 percentage points), ▲ Nevada (+3 percentage points), ▲ Arizona (+1 percentage point), and ▲ North Carolina (+1 percentage point). In Georgia, former President Trump was ahead by 1 percentage point, and in Pennsylvania, the two candidates were tied at 49%. This poll showed that voters’ evaluations of the economy, a key election issue, have improved compared to the previous one.
The response that the economy is good increased from 35% in August to 39%, while the response that the economy is bad decreased from 62% in August to 59%. Regarding former President Trump’s remark during the debate on the 10th that “Haitian immigrants eat the dogs and cats of their neighbors,” 63% of all respondents answered that it was “definitely/probably false.” 37% said that it was “definitely/probably true.”
In addition, 67% of the total did not support former President Trump’s remark, but 64% of former President Trump’s supporters answered that they supported it, showing a difference. Regarding former President Trump’s pledge to ‘deport all illegal immigrants,’ approval ratings were higher at 53%. In an NBC survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted from the 13th to the 17th (margin of error ±3.1 percentage points), Vice President Harris’ approval rating (49%) was 5 percentage points higher than former President Trump’s (44%).
NBC said that compared to a survey conducted in July when President Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate, Vice President Harris’ approval rating was 6 percentage points higher than President Biden’s, but former President Trump’s approval rating decreased by 1 percentage point. In this survey, Vice President Harris’s approval rating was 48% (disapproval rating was 45%). In an NBC survey conducted in July, just before Vice President Harris announced her candidacy for president, her approval rating was only 32%. The 16-percentage-point increase in Harris’s approval rating is the largest since President George W. Bush’s approval rating rose nearly 30 percentage points after the 9/11 attacks, NBC reported.